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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Smith (52')
Roberts (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pritchard (5', 47')
Venables (54'), Borge (57')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Newtown
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
17.62% (-0.117 -0.12)19.42% (-0.066999999999997 -0.07)62.96% (0.185 0.18)
Both teams to score 59.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.117 0.12)35.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (0.13 0.13)57.16% (-0.129 -0.13)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)33.18% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (-0.061 -0.06)69.78% (0.062000000000012 0.06)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (0.082000000000008 0.08)10.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.42% (0.18100000000001 0.18)34.58% (-0.18 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 17.62%
    Pen-y-Bont 62.96%
    Draw 19.42%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 4.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-0 @ 3.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 17.62%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.42%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.61% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.08% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.69% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.25% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.82% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.018 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 62.96%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
Newtown
Green (77')
Griffiths (48'), Hughes (75'), Green (82')
May 11, 2024 12.20pm
Newtown
0-5
Pen-y-Bont

Wycherley (13'), Roberts (82')
Kircough (6', 63'), Venables (18', 33'), Little (73')
Reffell (68')
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Newtown
Venables (71')
Kircough (63'), Harling (73'), Evans (90+4')
Smith (49')
Evans (21'), Wycherley (33'), Cowans (66')
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
1-3
Pen-y-Bont
Oswell (88')
Sutton (90+2')
Venables (18', 34'), Evans (71' og.)
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Newtown
Reffell (62'), Yorwerth (84')
Ismail (16')