Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 2
Cardiff MU

Phillips (15', 48')
Ludvigsen (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Craven (62' pen.), Vincent (70')
Jones (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Thursday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-3 Briton Ferry
Thursday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
64.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.05% (0.0019999999999989 0)14.9% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 47.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)47.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)69.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.21% (0.0029999999999983 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)41.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.73%44.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.65%80.35%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 64.04%
    Cardiff MU 14.9%
    Draw 21.04%
Pen-y-BontDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 12.27%
2-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26%
5-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 64.04%
1-1 @ 10%
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 14.9%

How you voted: Pen-y-Bont vs Cardiff MU

Pen-y-Bont
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cardiff MU
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Vincent (87')
Clay (6'), Veale (9'), Reynolds (12'), Edwards (23'), Crole (90')
Pritchard (5')
Przybek (90+1')
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Cardiff MU
0-3
Pen-y-Bont
Richards (18'), Griffiths (44'), Ware (76')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
Cardiff MU
Reffell (43'), Jones (49'), Venables (66'), Harling (90+6')
Vincent (75')
Vincent (78')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Rees (45+1'), H (46')
Wood (64'), Reynolds (73'), Harling (79')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Cardiff MU
Reynolds (42'), Wood (89' pen.)
Lewis (90+6')