Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.