Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
17
-
Louis Lloyd
35'
-
Louis Lloyd
44'
-
Zack Clarke
49'
-
Louis Lloyd
49'
-
Matthew Jones
82'
-
Ryan Kavanagh
14'
-
Mike George
25'
-
Sam Snaith
33'
-
Josh Yorwerth
34'
-
Luc Rees
42'
-
Callum Sainty
43'
-
Ben Margetson
51'
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
Result
Caernarfon Town
44.18%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
23.96%
▲
(+0.15)
Barry Town United
31.85%
▼
(-0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
60.2%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.05%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 2.5
41.95%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 3.5
35.64%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 3.5
64.35%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 4.5
18.75%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 4.5
81.25%
▲
(+0.64)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5
80.78%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
19.22%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 1.5
49.08%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
50.91%
▲
(+0.46)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5
74.52%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 0.5
25.48%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 1.5
39.68%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 1.5
60.32%
▲
(+0.81)
Score analysis
Caernarfon Town
44.18%
Draw
23.96%
Barry Town United
31.85%
Caernarfon Town
2-1
@
9.11%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.24)
2-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.18%
1-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.24)
2-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.18%
Draw
1-1
@
11.04%
▲
(+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.96%
2-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.96%
Barry Town United
1-2
@
7.55%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 31.85%
0-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 31.85%
Head to Head
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
8
-
Sam Snaith
10'
-
Mike George
79'
-
Louis Lloyd
9'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
16
-
Louis Lloyd
12'
-
Adam Davies
32'
-
Phil Mooney
33'
-
Phil Mooney
38'
-
Danny Gosset
44'
-
Ben Maher
79'
-
Harrison Bright
26'
-
Jordan Cotterill
44'
-
Jordan Cotterill
56'
-
Ben Blythe
63'
-
Callum Sainty
69'
-
Ollie Hulbert
90'+6'
-
Kayne McLaggon
90'+6'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
10
-
Evan Press
76'
-
Jordan Cotterill
90'+4'
-
Jordan Cotterill
90'+4'
-
Zack Clarke
27'
-
Marc Richard Williams
41'
-
Adam Davies
71'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
7
-
Jonathan Hood
17'
-
Kayne McLaggon
45'+1'
-
Rhys Kavanagh
61'
-
Neal Eardley
31'
-
Callum Morris
43'
-
George Horan
45'
-
45'+2'
-
Byron Harrison
62'
-
Kris Owens
65'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
22
-
Jordan Cotterill
36'
-
Clayton Green
69'
-
Mike Hayes
4'
-
Danny Gosset
12'
-
Mike Hayes
58'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
11
-
Bobby Beaumont
8'
-
Josh Bailey
41'
-
Gruffydd John
47'
-
Sion Bradley
55'
-
Iwan Cartwright
59'
-
Cai Jones
90'+1'
-
Kayne McLaggon
11'
-
Jordan Cotterill
37'
-
Rhys Abbruzzese
79'