Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Haverfordwest

Davies (46')
Woodiwiss (20'), Harling (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tabone (29'), Owen (90+3')
Tabone (64')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 3-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
45.8% (0.109 0.11)26.4% (-0.262 -0.26)27.8% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 49.91% (0.871 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (1.078 1.08)54.32% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (0.89 0.89)75.71% (-0.893 -0.89)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (0.523 0.52)23.66% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (0.749 0.75)57.77% (-0.752 -0.75)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (0.69500000000001 0.7)34.61% (-0.7 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (0.732 0.73)71.33% (-0.735 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 45.79%
    Haverfordwest County 27.8%
    Draw 26.39%
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.69% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.8%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
0-0
Pen-y-Bont
Walters (6'), Tabone (44')
Davies (32')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Pen-y-Bont
1-0
Haverfordwest
Venables (5')
Humphreys (60'), Griffiths (60'), Borge (90+3')

Whitmore (27'), Borge (79')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Haverfordwest
0-1
Pen-y-Bont

MacNamara (54'), Tabone (90+2'), Abbruzzese (90+6')
Ware (9')
Brown (68'), Przybek (87')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Haverfordwest
3-2
Pen-y-Bont
Wilson (12'), Abbruzzese (23'), Taylor-Crossdale (44')
Fawcett (90+7')
Brown (45+6'), Harling (62')
Venables (45+1'), Evans (51'), Kircough (65'), Pennock (80'), Brown (90+7')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Haverfordwest
Harling (36'), Owen (79')
Venables (34'), Evans (43'), Jones (56'), Reffell (58'), Davies (76'), Owen (90+6')

Abbruzzese (70'), Whitmore (77')