Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

Pask (36'), Baker (52')
Pask (24'), Williams (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fawcett (18')
McCarthy (22'), Tabone (31')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Shamrock 2-1 New Saints
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 4-1 Flint Town
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 73.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 10.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawHaverfordwest County
73.46% (0.508 0.51)16.19% (-0.142 -0.14)10.35% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.895 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (-0.442 -0.44)36.92% (0.441 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)59.1% (0.48 0.48)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)8.66% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (0.013000000000005 0.01)29.85% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.31% (-0.985 -0.98)44.69% (0.984 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.32% (-0.802 -0.8)80.68% (0.801 0.8)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 73.46%
    Haverfordwest County 10.35%
    Draw 16.19%
The New SaintsDrawHaverfordwest County
2-0 @ 11.58% (0.26 0.26)
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.205 0.21)
3-0 @ 9.44% (0.209 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.78% (0.129 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.83% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 73.46%
1-1 @ 7.63% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 16.19%
0-1 @ 3.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.35%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
0-1
New Saints

Watts (38'), Walters (55'), Ahmun (78')
Cieslewicz (21')
Bradley (56'), Ahmun (80')
Dec 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Haverfordwest
0-1
New Saints

Watts (12')
Baker (80')
Young (15'), Marriott (44'), Williams (85'), Routledge (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
5-1
Haverfordwest
Smith (24'), Hudson (49'), Brobbel (74', 76', 83')
Young (40'), Canavan (61')
Jenkins (69')
Fawcett (20'), Owen (21'), Maxwell Jones (40'), Taylor-Crossdale (41'), Whitmore (57')
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
New Saints
3-1
Haverfordwest
Clark (15'), Brobbel (19'), McManus (89')
Fawcett (62')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Haverfordwest
1-3
New Saints
Abbruzzese (90+2')
Brobbel (36', 42'), McManus (46')