Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 76.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 9.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.