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UEFA Conference League

Celje
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele

Celje
3 - 2
New Saints

Edmilson (20', 43'), Zec (79')
Riera (30'), Nemanic (39'), Kouter (76')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Davies (19'), Holden (42')
Harrison (0'), Daniels (29'), Roberts (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Celje and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Pafos 2-0 Celje
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Conference League

The New Saints

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: New Saints 0-2 Panathinaikos
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Celje had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.76%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Celje win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
CeljeDrawThe New Saints
34.96% (-0.111 -0.11)22.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.68% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 67.42% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.03% (-0.157 -0.16)32.97% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.31% (-0.181 -0.18)54.69% (0.183 0.18)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (-0.126 -0.13)19.54% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (-0.207 -0.21)51.44% (0.209 0.21)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.2% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)45.69% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Celje 34.96%
    The New Saints 42.68%
    Draw 22.36%
CeljeDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 5.17% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.17% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.36%
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 42.68%

How you voted: Celje vs New Saints

Celje
84.4%
Draw
11.1%
The New Saints
4.4%
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