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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 0
New Saints

Newell (39' pen.)
Clarke (42'), Kargbo (45+2'), Mehasseb (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McManus (37'), Roberts (39'), Bodenham (45+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 0-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawThe New Saints
23.7% (-0.11 -0.11)23.87% (0.356 0.36)52.43% (-0.247 -0.25)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-1.291 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-1.647 -1.65)47.15% (1.649 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (-1.554 -1.55)69.38% (1.554 1.55)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (-0.997 -1)34.16% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (-1.087 -1.09)70.85% (1.087 1.09)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)17.95% (0.705 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (-1.222 -1.22)48.78% (1.223 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 23.7%
    The New Saints 52.43%
    Draw 23.86%
Bala TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.274 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.54% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 23.7%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.412 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 10.53% (0.48 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.04% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.43%

How you voted: Bala Town vs New Saints

Bala Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
The New Saints
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
New Saints
2-3
Bala Town
Bradley (6'), Williams (87')
Daniels (73')
Norton (12'), Downes (90+2'), Mehasseb (90+8')
Edwards (77')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
4-1
Bala Town
Redmond (7', 12'), Williams (41'), McManus (68')
Mendes (33')
Smith (64'), Shannon (71')
Feb 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
0-1
New Saints

Smith (71')
Young (45')
Redmond (20'), McManus (88')
Oct 28, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
New Saints
2-0
Bala Town
Clark (39'), Brobbel (44' pen.)
Redmond (34')

Peate (61'), Abadaki (65')
Sep 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Bala Town
0-0
New Saints
Abadaki (55'), Malkin (75'), Mitter (84')
Shannon (55')
Marriott (55'), Young (86')
Cieslewicz (55')