Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.