Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.