Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for OFI Crete had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest OFI Crete win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Panathinaikos in this match.