Dec 26, 2024 2.30pm

2

5

HT : 2 3

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 5'
Zack Clarke 18'
Phil Mooney 64'

Jack Bodenham 2'
Jordan Williams 11'
Jack Bodenham 40'
Ben Clark 73'
Ben Clark 74'

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
W
D
W
L
D

Welsh Premier League

L
W
D
W
L
D

Last game

Dec 21, 2024 2.30pm

Aberystwyth 3 - 1 Caernarfon

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

The New Saints

All competitions

W
L
L
L
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
L
W
L
W
W

Last game

Dec 22, 2024 2.30pm

New Saints 5 - 2 Briton Ferry

Goals scored

89

Top scorer

Aramide Oteh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-3 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result

Caernarfon Town 16.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 17.91% ▼ (-0.01)

The New Saints 65.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

63.71% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 29.25% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 49.71% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 50.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 30.48% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 69.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.62% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 30.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 33.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 66.58% ▲ (+0.01)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 91.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 8.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 70.59% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 29.41% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 16.77%

Draw 17.91%

The New Saints 65.32%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.21%

2-0 @ 1.83%

3-1 @ 1.79%

Other @ 3.36%

Total : 16.77%

Draw

1-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.57%

0-0 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.82%

Other @ 0.38%

Total : 17.91%

The New Saints

1-2 @ 9.34%

0-2 @ 7.84%

1-3 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 4.58%

0-4 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)

2-4 @ 2.82%

1-5 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)

0-5 @ 1.96%

2-5 @ 1.39%

3-4 @ 1.12%

Other @ 4.7%

Total : 65.32%

Head to Head

Oct 9, 2024 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Leo Smith 12'

Zack Clarke 33'
Louis Lloyd 82'

Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm

7

1

HT : 4 0

FT Park Hall Stadium

Declan McManus 7'
Ben Clark 13'
Adrian Cieslewicz 16'
Daniel Redmond 22'
Adrian Cieslewicz 47'
Declan McManus 59'
Blaine Hudson 90'

Ben Maher 33'
Ben Maher 33'
Louis Lloyd 72'

Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm

1

8

HT : 1 4

FT The Oval

Sion Bradley 7'

Brad Young 2'
Adrian Cieslewicz 30'
Adrian Cieslewicz 31'
Brad Young 34'
Brad Young 49'
Rory Holden 55'
Brad Young 73'
Blaine Hudson 85'
Rory Holden 90'

Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Connor Roberts 14'
Daniel Davies 45'+1'
D. Davies 45'+1'
Jordan Williams 78'
Chris Marriott 81'
Jordan Williams 82'

Louis Lloyd 13'
Ben Wynne 82'

Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Adam Davies 6'

Ben Clark 58'
Jordan Williams 63'
Ryan Brobbel 76'

Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Declan McManus 72'

Form Data

Aberystwyth 3 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Barry

Connah's Quay 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Briton Ferry 0 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 5 Pen-y-Bont

Haverfordwest 0 - 0 Caernarfon

New Saints 5 - 2 Briton Ferry

Celje 3 - 2 New Saints

New Saints 0 - 2 Panathinaikos

Bala Town 1 - 0 New Saints

New Saints 0 - 1 Djurgarden

New Saints 3 - 2 Pen-y-Bont