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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
3 - 1
Caernarfon

Flint (45+4'), Evans (72', 86')
Huxley (37'), Hartley (39'), Bradford (45+5'), Walsh (45'), Bradford (84')
Hartley (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lloyd (85')
Patterson (90+1'), Mooney (90+7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 3-0 Aberystwyth
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-2 Barry
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
25.57% (0.918 0.92) 23.3% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 51.13% (-0.976 -0.98)
Both teams to score 57.93% (0.788 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (0.59800000000001 0.6)42.92% (-0.602 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (0.591 0.59)65.32% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (1.059 1.06)30.32% (-1.062 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (1.245 1.25)66.51% (-1.249 -1.25)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.137 -0.14)16.86% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.239 -0.24)46.88% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 25.57%
    Caernarfon Town 51.13%
    Draw 23.3%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.176 0.18)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.57%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.195 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.13%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
1-4
Aberystwyth
Clarke (90+1')
Owen (37')
Evans (23'), Bradford (29'), Flint (34', 82')
Flint (69'), Flint (73'), Jones (81')
Lewis (69')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
3-0
Aberystwyth
Clarke (59' pen.), Davies (66'), Lloyd (85')
Cartwright (4'), Donohue (63'), Gosset (78')

Thorn (28'), H (82')
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
2-4
Caernarfon
Owen (4'), Lewis (26')
Bradford (40'), Jones (66')
Clarke (6', 19'), Davies (71', 90+2')
Lloyd (34')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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