Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

Brobbel (27'), Williams (37')
Holden (32'), Williams (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Edwards (31')
Edwards (23'), Nash (61')
Kenny (45+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-5 New Saints
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 7-2 Flint Town
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 3-1 (6.49%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
53.25% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)21.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)25.69% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 66.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.92%32.08% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.66% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65%12.35% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.18% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.45% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)58.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 53.25%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 25.69%
    Draw 21.06%
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 6.49%
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.57%
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.42%
4-3 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 53.25%
1-1 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.06%
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-2 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.69%

How you voted: New Saints vs Connah's Quay

The New Saints
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Connah's Quay Nomads
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
1-2
New Saints
Kenny (54')
Edwards (15')
McManus (86'), Clark (87')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
2-0
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (88'), Edwards (90' og.)

Disney (59'), Nash (60'), Edwards (70'), Edwards (73')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
1-5
New Saints
Kenny (46')
Edwards (72')
Daniels (4'), Clark (20'), Davies (36'), Williams (42'), McManus (85')
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Connah's Quay
0-4
New Saints

Disney (88')
Pask (7'), Brobbel (22'), Young (28', 56')
Marriott (88')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
6-2
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')