Welsh Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bryntirion Park
  • Keyon Reffell 54' goal
  • Mark Little 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Disney 90'+1'

Pen-y-Bont vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 31, 2024 5.45pm
Pen-y-Bont 2 - 2 Cardiff MU
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
James Crole

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 31, 2024 2.30pm
New Saints 2 - 1 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Rhys Hughes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 44.77% (-0.13)
Draw 24.61% (-0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads 30.61% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.31% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.53% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 45.47% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 32.2% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 67.8% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 16.22% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 83.78% (-0.07)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 79.6% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.4% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.17% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.83% (+0.03)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 72% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 28% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 36.36% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 63.64% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 44.77%
Draw 24.6%
Connah's Quay Nomads 30.62%
Pen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.6%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-2 @ 7.36% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 30.62%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT University Stadium
  • Jack Kenny 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Harling 41'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 50'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 69'
  • goal Gabe Kircough 78'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Shaun MacDonald 7' yellowcard
  • Eliot Richards 54' yellowcard
  • Lewis Harling 70' yellowcard
  • Mael Davies 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 12'
  • yellowcard Harry Franklin 56'
  • goal Michael Wilde 87'
  • yellowcard Declan Poole 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ryan Stratulis 90'+4'
  • redcard Declan Poole 90'+5'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 5.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Jordan Davies 11' goal
  • Jordan Davies 11' goal
  • Jack Kenny 24' goal
  • Jordan Davies 36' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 58' goal
  • Jack Kenny 65' yellowcard
  • Ryan Harrington 90' goal
  • John Disney 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Little 22'
  • yellowcard Ashley Evans 65'
  • yellowcard Gabe Kircough 68'
  • goal Chris Venables 70'
  • goal Daniel Jefferies 81'
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 90'+1'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • Kane Owen 81' goal
  • goal Ben Nash 65'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The KYMCO Stadium
  • goal Mike Hayes 73'