Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19

Jan 4, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Connah's Quay

Reffell (54')
Little (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Disney (90+1')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-2 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
44.77% ( -0.13)	24.61% ( -0.01)	30.61% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

0.09)

45.47% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

0.08)

67.8% (

-0.08)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6% (

-0.02)

20.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.17% (

-0.03)

52.83% (

0.03)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72% (

0.13)

28% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.36% (

0.17)

63.64% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 44.77%

Connah's Quay Nomads 30.62%

Draw 24.6%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.77%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.6%	1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.62%