Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 11, 2025 at 12.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 6
Briton Ferry

Evans (41')
Davies (36'), Bradford (67'), Jones (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bowen (11', 54'), Walters (29', 49'), Gammond (90+2' pen.), Payne (90+3')
Gammond (45+1'), Dyer (56'), George (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Aberystwyth
Wednesday, January 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 5-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Briton Ferry win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Briton Ferry win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Briton Ferry would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBriton Ferry
37.92% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)23.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)38.24% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)40.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (0.047000000000004 0.05)62.42% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72%21.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (0.040000000000006 0.04)21.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (0.064 0.06)53.96% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 37.92%
    Briton Ferry 38.24%
    Draw 23.84%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBriton Ferry
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.24%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 15
Briton Ferry
4-0
Aberystwyth
Bowen (21'), Walters (42'), Demery (88', 90+3')

Mason (47')