Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.