Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
5 - 1
Briton Ferry

Ahmun (43', 63'), Abbruzzese (51'), Jones (55'), Walters (62')
Jenkins (30'), Abbruzzese (53'), Shepherd (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Walters (40')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Aberystwyth
Wednesday, January 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Briton Ferry 0-0 Barry
Tuesday, December 31 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 66.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawBriton Ferry
66.18% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)19.77% (0.303 0.3)14.05% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-0.394 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (-0.847 -0.85)44.03% (0.85 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (-0.829 -0.83)66.42% (0.833 0.83)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.39800000000001 -0.4)12.43% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.65% (-0.83799999999999 -0.84)38.35% (0.842 0.84)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.81% (-0.188 -0.19)43.19% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.55% (-0.158 -0.16)79.45% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 66.17%
    Briton Ferry 14.05%
    Draw 19.77%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawBriton Ferry
2-0 @ 11.67% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.23% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 66.17%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.152 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.77%
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.95% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.05%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Briton Ferry
1-2
Haverfordwest
Jenkins (31')
Gammond (19'), Demery (35'), Price (38'), Dyer (48'), Bowen (56')
Gammond (79')
Jones (11'), Jenkins (55')
Shepherd (20'), Ahmun (63')