Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 0
Aberystwyth

Hawkins (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Owen (37'), Bradford (90+4')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

Last Game: Newtown 0-2 Haverfordwest
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-0 Bala Town
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 73.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 8.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.51%) and 3-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
73.64% ( 0.12)	17.8% ( -0.03)	8.55% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 37.85% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

-0.17)

49.84% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

-0.15)

71.84% (

0.15)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

-0.02)

12.03% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.49% (

-0.03)

37.51% (

0.03)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.03% (

-0.31)

56.97% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.97% (

-0.18)

89.02% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 73.62%

Aberystwyth Town 8.55%

Draw 17.8%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 15.36% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 73.62%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.35% Total : 17.8%	0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 8.55%