Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 17, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Bala Town logo

Connah's Quay
0 - 2
Bala Town

Hughes (4', 8'), Nash (32')
Roberts (4'), Edwards (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Abadaki (59'), Burke (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 0-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 11 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 54.69%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
54.69% (0.061999999999998 0.06)22.25% (0.026 0.03)23.06% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 58.65% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (-0.204 -0.2)40.65% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (-0.208 -0.21)63.04% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.18% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)14.82% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)43.12% (0.102 0.1)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)31.15% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.213 -0.21)67.48% (0.218 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 54.69%
    Bala Town 23.06%
    Draw 22.25%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 54.69%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.06%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bala Town
0-0
Connah's Quay
Dugan (59')
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
0-0
Bala Town
Roberts (86'), Edwards (89')
Malkin (37'), Smith (46'), Shannon (78')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bala Town
1-0
Connah's Quay
Newell (55' pen.)
Solomon-Davies (90+3')

Bratley (80')
Oct 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town
Kenny (57')
Edwards (90+3')
Abadaki (14')
Abadaki (31'), Arsan (59'), Malkin (73'), Malkin (73'), Smith (90+3')
Malkin (90+3')
Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
1-0
Connah's Quay
Rushton (48' og.)
White (77')

Nash (64'), Kenny (75'), Franklin (75')
rhs 2.0


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