Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.