Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1

Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

Lambert (36'), Mariette (76')
Hughes (8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (90+1')
Nash (38'), Ratcliffe (71'), Edwards (77'), Hughes (89')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions

Last Game: Caernarfon 3-0 Flint Town
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-2 Bala Town
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Flint Town United	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
33.85% ( 0.2)	23.78% ( 0.06)	42.38% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 61.67% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64% (

-0.23)

40.36% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.27% (

-0.24)

62.73% (

0.24)

Flint Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

0.01)

23.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

0.01)

57.6% (

-0.01)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66% (

-0.21)

19.34% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

-0.35)

51.12% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Flint Town United 33.85%

Connah's Quay Nomads 42.38%

Draw 23.78%

Flint Town United	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.85%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 42.38%