Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 0
Flint Town

Lock (47'), John Williams (80'), Canavan (84')
Mooney (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lee (61')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 0-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 11 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Flint Town United

All competitions

Last Game: Flint Town 2-0 Newtown
Wednesday, January 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.38%) and 1-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Flint Town United
43.56% ( -0.45)	21.69% ( 0.59)	34.75% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 69.98% (

-2.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.37% (

-3.04)

29.62% (

3.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.26% (

-3.78)

50.73% (

3.78)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45% (

-1.35)

14.54% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.42% (

-2.67)

42.58% (

2.67)

Flint Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89% (

-1.47)

18.11% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95% (

-2.57)

49.05% (

2.57)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 43.56%

Flint Town United 34.75%

Draw 21.69%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Flint Town United
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.53% Total : 43.56%	1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.69%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.56) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.2) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.75%