Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Kavanagh (30'), Willmott (82'), Hulbert (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edwards (44'), Durrant (90+1')
Roberts (46'), Nash (61'), Owens (77'), Edwards (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Barry
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
22.75% (0.069000000000003 0.07)22.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01)54.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)43.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (0.029000000000003 0.03)65.9% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.076999999999998 0.08)33% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.082000000000001 0.08)69.58% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)15.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.86% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)45.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 22.75%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 54.44%
    Draw 22.8%
Barry Town UnitedDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.75%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 54.44%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Barry
3-2
Connah's Quay
McLaggon (23'), Gwyn Owen (74', 88')
Kavanagh (84')
Hughes (58', 85')
Hughes (57'), Edwards (90+6')
Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
1-2
Barry
Kenny (40')
Marriott (37')
Hulbert (54', 89')
Press (43'), Patten (61'), Bright (82'), Margetson (83')
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Connah's Quay
7-0
Barry
Sainty (14' og.), Kenny (21', 52' og.), Franklin (62'), Harrington (65'), Davies (80'), Wilde (86')
Nash (44')

Sylvester (88')
Sep 9, 2023 2.45pm
Gameweek 6
Barry
1-4
Connah's Quay
Hulbert (22')
Tomlinson (62'), Cotterill (90'), Veale (90')
Davies (40', 66'), Kenny (44'), Disney (85')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
2-0
Barry
Owens (36'), Harrison (54')
Disney (8')

McLaggon (26'), Kavanagh (35')
rhs 2.0


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