Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.