Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.