Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 1
Briton Ferry


Kenny (43'), Nash (73'), Ferguson (73'), Nash (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gammond (59')
Gammond (51')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Newtown
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Briton Ferry 2-3 Aberystwyth
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBriton Ferry
61.39% (-0.546 -0.55)20.11% (0.204 0.2)18.49% (0.344 0.34)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.394 -0.39)36.95% (0.396 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.428 -0.43)59.13% (0.43 0.43)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37% (-0.262 -0.26)11.63% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35% (-0.572 -0.57)36.64% (0.573 0.57)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.126 0.13)33.33% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.138 0.14)69.95% (-0.13600000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 61.39%
    Briton Ferry 18.49%
    Draw 20.11%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBriton Ferry
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.11%
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.078 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 18.49%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
2-1
Briton Ferry
Hughes (34'), Edwards (37')
Williams (71')
Poole (90+1')
Jenkins (67')
Jenkins (33'), Owen (49'), Poole (71')
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Briton Ferry
1-5
Connah's Quay
Bowen (5')
Gammond (22'), Brock (30'), Bowen (39'), Evans (79')
Mwandwe (14'), Disney (50' pen.), Williams (51'), Hughes (72'), Berry (89')