Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.