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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 1
Barry

Williams (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hulbert (15')
Yorwerth (82'), Yorwerth (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Newtown
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 3-1 Flint Town
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawBarry Town United
34.91% (0.261 0.26)24.11% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)40.98% (-0.23200000000001 -0.23)
Both teams to score 60.72% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (0.171 0.17)41.71% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (0.172 0.17)64.11% (-0.167 -0.17)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.223 0.22)23.59% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (0.318 0.32)57.67% (-0.313 -0.31)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)20.53% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)53.04% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 34.91%
    Barry Town United 40.98%
    Draw 24.11%
Newtown AFCDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 8% (0.034 0.03)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.98%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Newtown
2-4
Barry
Williams (11'), Sutton (44' og.)
Hulbert (53'), Bright (58'), Snaith (69'), Patten (80')
Margetson (32'), Patten (73')
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Barry
1-2
Newtown
Patten (1')
Sainty (24'), Richards (59')
Williams (10', 49')
Pryce (90+2')
Jan 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Barry
4-0
Newtown
Blythe (19', 42'), Snaith (59'), Hulbert (71')
Patten (83')

Mills-Evans (50'), Smith (58'), Robles (81')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
2-0
Barry
Williams (1', 76')
Hughes (7'), Robles (68'), Sutton (69'), Sears (85')

McDonald (25'), Bright (43'), Press (82')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newtown
2-1
Barry
Davies (59'), Hughes (62')
Mills-Evans (42'), Walker (55'), Hughes (61'), Roberts (90+2')
Cotterill (18')
Cotterill (30'), Patten (45+1'), Cummings (45+2'), McLaggon (77'), Green (90+4')