Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Hughes (14'), Wright (63'), Kenny (90+3')
Kenny (65'), Williams (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradford (60'), Huxley (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 0-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Newtown
Saturday, February 22 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 10.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
73.58% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)10.07%
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.94% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)9.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.81%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)82.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 73.57%
    Aberystwyth Town 10.07%
    Draw 16.35%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 12.11%
1-0 @ 10.09%
3-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 7.45%
4-0 @ 5.83%
4-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 2.8%
5-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.72%
6-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 73.57%
1-1 @ 7.75%
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 16.35%
0-1 @ 3.23%
1-2 @ 2.98%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 10.07%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
3-0
Aberystwyth
Mwandwe (33'), Kenny (44'), Dugan (84')
Roberts (17'), Kenny (69'), Marriott (90+2')

Walsh (42'), Lewis (54')
Aug 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (76')
Ealing (7'), Walsh (60'), Davies (81')
Mwandwe (66')
Mwandwe (54'), Hughes (56'), Nash (78')
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (45+1')
Kirkman (63')
Davies (41')
Disney (71')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Aberystwyth
Williams (23', 45+1'), Bratley (29'), Davies (38' pen.)
Bratley (61'), Franklin (90+4')
Bratley (69')

Yahaya (45+3'), Darlington (76'), Cornish (90+3')
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Connah's Quay
3-0
Aberystwyth
Franklin (7'), Wilde (90', 90+4')
rhs 2.0


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