Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 at 12.15pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Newtown


Flint (37'), Thorn (45+2'), Evans (78'), Davies (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oswell (75')
Oswell (7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 2-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Barry
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
27.55% (0.065000000000001 0.07)25.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.61% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.061 0.06)49.42% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.055 0.05)71.46% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (0.082000000000008 0.08)32.21% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (0.093 0.09)68.71% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09%20.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 27.55%
    Newtown AFC 47.31%
    Draw 25.13%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.31%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
3-1
Newtown
Flint (13'), Patterson (29'), Evans (83')
Flint (72'), Bradford (76')
Lock (66')
Roberts (52'), Williams (71'), Oswell (78')
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
4-1
Aberystwyth
Oswell (50', 70'), Roberts (68'), Lock (77')
Roberts (25'), Lock (51')
Evans (45+2')
Evans (40'), Lewis (40')
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Davies (67')
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')