Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
2 - 0
Aberystwyth

Reeves (52'), Phillips (76')
Sanogo Fofana (35'), Lambert (50'), Simmonds (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 3-1 Flint Town
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 2-3 Aberystwyth
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 67.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flint Town United in this match.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
67.77% (1.148 1.15)18.6% (-0.376 -0.38)13.63% (-0.77 -0.77)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (0.29700000000001 0.3)10.73% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.33% (0.658 0.66)34.67% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59% (-1.094 -1.09)41% (1.097 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.45% (-0.99 -0.99)77.55% (0.991 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 67.76%
    Aberystwyth Town 13.63%
    Draw 18.6%
Flint Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.95% (0.26 0.26)
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.16% (0.294 0.29)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.55% (0.218 0.22)
4-1 @ 4.06% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.03% (0.121 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.81% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 67.76%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.4%
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.63%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Flint Town
3-0
Aberystwyth
Yonsian (3', 25', 50')

Thorn (55')
Sep 7, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
0-2
Flint Town

Ealing (62')
Reeves (35', 51')
Burke (25'), Hughes (63')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
1-0
Flint Town
Evans (90+3')
Jan 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Flint Town
1-1
Aberystwyth
H (72')
Evans (37')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
2-1
Flint Town
Thorn (65'), Flint (85' pen.)
Hughes (81')