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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 2
Flint Town

Ismail (30'), Reid (52')
Evans (50'), Ismail (57'), Martin (75'), Schwarzer Garcia (79'), Sharp (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Collins (42'), Reeves (87')
Sanogo Fofana (58')
(58')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Newtown
Saturday, February 22 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 3-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawFlint Town United
40.03% (1.221 1.22)23.65% (0.059999999999999 0.06)36.32% (-1.28 -1.28)
Both teams to score 62.7% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.76% (-0.40499999999999 -0.4)39.24% (0.407 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.43% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)61.57% (0.426 0.43)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.392 0.39)19.92% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (0.628 0.63)52.05% (-0.628 -0.63)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.81899999999999 -0.82)21.71% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-1.268 -1.27)54.87% (1.268 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 40.03%
    Flint Town United 36.32%
    Draw 23.64%
Newtown AFCDrawFlint Town United
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.157 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.214 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.163 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.32%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Flint Town
2-0
Newtown
Phillips (53'), Burke (87')
Sutton (35'), Evans (66')

Lambert (31'), Ismail (45+1'), Reeves (56'), Oswell (67'), Hughes (88'), Hughes (89')
Harries (59')
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Newtown
2-4
Flint Town
Oswell (43'), Ismail (77')
Lambert (9'), Lee (17'), Reeves (58'), Jones (88')
Sanogo Fofana (44'), Yonsian (52'), Hughes (59'), Phillips (76')
Nov 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Flint Town
1-4
Newtown
Cadwallader (35')
Cowans (62'), Ismail (68'), Walker (84'), Williams (90')
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
0-2
Flint Town

Sears (73')
Harrison (3'), Simmonds (35')
Owen (54'), Simmonds (62'), Ibrahim (71'), Beaumont (81')
Owen (72')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Flint Town
1-1
Newtown
Jones (90')
Harrison (38'), Cadwallader (60'), Maher (61')
Williams (51')