Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
2 - 1
Aberystwyth

Gwyn Owen (7'), Richards (90')
Richards (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Patterson (88')
Sharif (18'), Flint (44'), Davies (45'), Patterson (49')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 3-4 Barry
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
60.5% (0.259 0.26)21.98% (-0.061 -0.06)17.52% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)47.04% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)69.28% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9% (0.067999999999998 0.07)15.1% (-0.066999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.36% (0.127 0.13)43.64% (-0.125 -0.13)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.57% (-0.259 -0.26)40.43% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (-0.236 -0.24)77.05% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 60.5%
    Aberystwyth Town 17.52%
    Draw 21.98%
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.52%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
1-2
Barry
Thorn (84')
Scotcher (40'), Davies (57'), (77')
Hulbert (49'), Patten (71')
Hulbert (36'), McLaggon (42'), Richards (88')
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Barry
1-0
Aberystwyth
Hulbert (84')
Aug 23, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Aberystwyth
1-0
Barry
Evans (33')
Lewis (45+1'), Owen (50'), Flint (86')

Schwank (90+6')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
2-1
Aberystwyth
Snaith (11'), Hulbert (83')
McDonald (61')
Kirkman (63')
Davies (30'), Hinds (37')
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
1-1
Barry
Woollam (11')
Lewis (87'), Canavan (90'), Thorn (90')
Patten (20' pen.)
Patten (53')
rhs 2.0


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