Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5

Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Old Road

Briton Ferry
3 - 4
Barry

Walters (29'), Davies (73'), Williams (85')
(64'), (66')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Hulbert (6', 48'), Gwyn Owen (21', 21', 90')
(30'), (81')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Briton Ferry and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Briton Ferry

All competitions

Last Game: Flint Town 3-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Barry Town United

All competitions

Last Game: Barry 0-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Briton Ferry	Draw	Barry Town United
29.96% ( -0.48)	23.31% ( 0.06)	46.73% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 61.5% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.21% (

-0.55)

39.79% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.86% (

-0.57)

62.14% (

0.57)

Briton Ferry Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

-0.57)

25.6% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.52% (

-0.79)

60.48% (

0.78)

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

-0.05)

17.33% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.29% (

-0.09)

47.71% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Briton Ferry 29.96%

Barry Town United 46.73%

Draw 23.31%

Briton Ferry	Draw	Barry Town United
2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.96%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.73%