Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.