Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Mar 28, 2025 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Flint Town

Flint (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wynne (35'), Reeves (65')
Simmonds (42'), Sanogo Fofana (57')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Briton Ferry
Friday, March 21 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 3-2 Barry
Saturday, March 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Flint Town United in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
24.38% (-0.138 -0.14)22.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.09% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 59.28% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (-0.058 -0.06)40.54% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)62.92% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)29.99% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.171 -0.17)66.11% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (0.031999999999996 0.03)15.31% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.95% (0.060000000000002 0.06)44.05% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 24.38%
    Flint Town United 53.09%
    Draw 22.53%
Aberystwyth TownDrawFlint Town United
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.38%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.09% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 53.09%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Flint Town
2-0
Aberystwyth
Reeves (52'), Phillips (76')
Sanogo Fofana (35'), Lambert (50'), Simmonds (54')
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Flint Town
3-0
Aberystwyth
Yonsian (3', 25', 50')

Thorn (55')
Sep 7, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
0-2
Flint Town

Ealing (62')
Reeves (35', 51')
Burke (25'), Hughes (63')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aberystwyth
1-0
Flint Town
Evans (90+3')
Jan 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Flint Town
1-1
Aberystwyth
H (72')
Evans (37')
rhs 2.0


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