Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7

Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Connah's Quay

Oswell (57', 72'), Martin (58')
Martin (61'), Hughes (66')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Hughes (20' pen.), Kenny (21' pen., 43'), Nash (44', 67')
Nash (60'), Marriott (77'), Kenny (86')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-1 Newtown
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-0 Flint Town
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 0-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
18.47% ( -0.04)	20.71% ( -0)	60.81% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 56.66% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.13% (

-0.05)

39.86% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.77% (

-0.05)

62.22% (

0.05)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9% (

-0.07)

35.1% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.15% (

-0.07)

71.85% (

0.07)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.31% (

-0.01)

12.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.12% (

-0.01)

38.88% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 18.47%

Connah's Quay Nomads 60.81%

Draw 20.71%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 18.47%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.84% 0-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.46% 0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 60.81%