Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
7
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-
Jason Oswell
57'
-
Desean Martin
58'
-
Desean Martin
61'
-
George Hughes
66'
-
Jason Oswell
72'
-
Rhys Hughes
20'
-
Jack Kenny
21'
-
Jack Kenny
43'
-
Ben Nash
44'
-
Ben Nash
60'
-
Ben Nash
67'
-
Chris Marriott
77'
-
Jack Kenny
86'
Newtown AFC vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 0-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result
Newtown AFC
18.47%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
20.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads
60.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
56.66%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.13%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
39.86%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
37.77%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
62.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
20.38%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
79.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5
64.9%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
35.1%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
28.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
71.85%
▲
(+0.07)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5
87.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
12.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
61.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
38.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Newtown AFC
18.47%
Draw
20.71%
Connah's Quay Nomads
60.81%
Newtown AFC
2-1
@
5.04%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 18.47%
1-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 18.47%
Draw
1-1
@
9.63%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.71%
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.71%
Connah's Quay Nomads
1-2
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.84%
0-3 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.46%
0-5 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 60.81%
0-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.84%
0-3 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.46%
0-5 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 60.81%
Head to Head
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
2
-
Jack Kenny
17'
-
Ben Nash
64'
-
Noah Edwards
87'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
17
-
Ryan Pryce
24'
-
Callum Roberts
41'
-
Jason Oswell
47'
-
Callum Roberts
58'
-
Ben Nash
38'
-
Ben Nash
41'
-
Noah Edwards
51'
-
Rhys Hughes
59'
-
Jack Kenny
63'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
9
-
Rhys Hughes
32'
-
Noah Edwards
35'
-
Kai Edwards
54'
-
Rob Evans
4'
-
Aaron Williams
45'+1'
-
Shane Sutton
61'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
7
-
Noah Edwards
59'
-
Henry Cowans
13'
-
Callum Roberts
38'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
2
-
Jason Oswell
9'
-
Rob Evans
51'
-
Zeli Ismail
58'
-
Jason Oswell
59'
-
Ryan Sears
81'
-
Andy Wycherley
85'
-
Dylan Downs
87'
-
Declan Poole
19'
-
Jordan Davies
27'
-
Ryan Harrington
45'+1'
-
Jordan Davies
45'+3'
-
Jack Kenny
53'
-
Andy Firth
73'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
20
-
Shane Sutton
53'
-
Callum Roberts
72'
-
Ryan Sears
90'+5'
-
Ryan Harrington
19'
-
Jack Kenny
21'
-
Callum Morris
85'
-
Jordan Davies
90'+2'