Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Old Road
Newtown logo

Briton Ferry
1 - 1
Newtown

Dyer (68')
(37'), Gammond (42'), (82'), (90+3'), (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oswell (85')
(76'), (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Briton Ferry and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 3-4 Barry
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 2-2 Flint Town
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Briton FerryDrawNewtown AFC
27.67% (0.153 0.15)23.57% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.93% (0.237 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.54% (0.258 0.26)42.45% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.14% (0.258 0.26)64.86% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.245 0.25)28.5% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (0.306 0.31)64.27% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (0.051000000000002 0.05)17.57% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (0.091000000000001 0.09)48.13% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Briton Ferry 27.67%
    Newtown AFC 48.76%
    Draw 23.57%
Briton FerryDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 48.76%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
2-2
Briton Ferry
Williams (19'), Oswell (23')
Ismail (31')
Hurford (45'), Bowen (69')
Walters (90+2')
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Briton Ferry
2-1
Newtown
Hurford (79'), Payne (90+17')
Hurford (70')
Williams (71')
Sutton (9'), Pryce (26'), Smith (71')
Pryce (90+7')
Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
1-0
Briton Ferry
Williams (61')
Sutton (38'), Roberts (81')

Jones (32'), Owen (40'), Jenkins (71')