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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Aberystwyth

Sharp (37'), Oswell (53')
Evans (56'), Smith (62'), Smith (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flint (45+1', 79'), Peter Jayden Diboe (82')
(83'), (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 2-1 Newtown
Friday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Flint Town
Friday, March 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
54.36% (-0.77 -0.77)22.79% (0.292 0.29)22.86% (0.482 0.48)
Both teams to score 56.53% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-0.756 -0.76)43.33% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (-0.749 -0.75)65.72% (0.752 0.75)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)15.87% (0.53 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92% (-0.98 -0.98)45.08% (0.984 0.98)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 54.36%
    Aberystwyth Town 22.86%
    Draw 22.79%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 54.36%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.172 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2025 12.15pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Flint (37'), Thorn (45+2'), Evans (78'), Davies (83')
Thorn (80')
Oswell (75')
Oswell (7')
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
3-1
Newtown
Flint (13'), Patterson (29'), Evans (83')
Flint (72'), Bradford (76')
Lock (66')
Roberts (52'), Williams (71'), Oswell (78')
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
4-1
Aberystwyth
Oswell (50', 70'), Roberts (68'), Lock (77')
Roberts (25'), Lock (51')
Evans (45+2')
Evans (40'), Lewis (40')
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Davies (67')
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')