Apr 12, 2025 12.45pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Oliver Sharp 37'
Jason Oswell 53'
Rob Evans 56'
Dominic Smith 62'
Dominic Smith 62'

Niall Flint 45'+1'
Niall Flint 79'
Cuba Peter Jayden Diboe 82'
83'
83'

Newtown AFC vs Aberystwyth Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions

L
L
D
D
W
D

Welsh Premier League

L
L
D
D
W
D

Last game

Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm

Barry 2 - 1 Newtown

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Jason Oswell

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

L
L
L
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 28, 2025 8.00pm

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Flint Town

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Jonathan Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Newtown AFC 54.36% ▼ (-0.78)

Draw 22.79% ▲ (+0.30)

Aberystwyth Town 22.86% ▲ (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score:

56.53% ▼ (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.67% ▼ (-0.76)

Under 2.5 43.33% ▲ (+0.76)

Over 3.5 34.28% ▼ (-0.75)

Under 3.5 65.72% ▲ (+0.76)

Over 4.5 17.73% ▼ (-0.56)

Under 4.5 82.27% ▲ (+0.56)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 84.13% ▼ (-0.53)

Under 0.5 15.87% ▲ (+0.53)

Over 1.5 54.92% ▼ (-0.99)

Under 1.5 45.08% ▲ (+0.99)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 32.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 30.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 69.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newtown AFC 54.36%

Draw 22.79%

Aberystwyth Town 22.86%

Newtown AFC

2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.03)

1-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.15)

2-0 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.13)

3-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.12)

3-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.07)

4-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.12)

4-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.11)

4-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.07)

5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 3.48%

Total : 54.36%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.17)

2-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.18)

3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 22.79%

Aberystwyth Town

1-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.10)

0-1 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.20)

0-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.11)

1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.04)

2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 2.42%

Total : 22.86%

Head to Head

Feb 22, 2025 12.15pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Niall Flint 37'
Jack Thorn 45'+2'
Jonathan Evans 78'
Jack Thorn 80'
Ben Davies 83'

Jason Oswell 7'
Jason Oswell 75'

Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Niall Flint 13'
Rico Patterson 29'
Niall Flint 72'
Louis Bradford 76'
Jonathan Evans 83'

Callum Roberts 52'
Joshua Lock 66'
Aaron Williams 71'
Jason Oswell 78'

Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm

4

1

HT : 0 1

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Callum Roberts 25'
Jason Oswell 50'
Joshua Lock 51'
Callum Roberts 68'
Jason Oswell 70'
Joshua Lock 77'

Jonathan Evans 40'
Iwan Lewis 40'
Jonathan Evans 45'+2'

Nov 14, 2023 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Steffan Davies 67'

Andy Wycherley 77'
Matthew Jones 80'

Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Zeli Ismail 33'
Ryan Sears 83'
Rob Evans 90'+3'

Liam Walsh 90'+3'
Liam Walsh 90'+5'

Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm

6

1

HT : 1 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Niall Flint 14'
Aaron Williams 51'
Nigel Aris 54'
Nick Rushton 56'
Nigel Aris 63'
Nick Rushton 73'

Jonathan Evans 80'

Form Data

Barry 2 - 1 Newtown

Newtown 2 - 3 Connah's Quay

Briton Ferry 1 - 1 Newtown

Newtown 2 - 2 Flint Town

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Newtown

Newtown 1 - 1 Barry

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Flint Town

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Briton Ferry

Barry 2 - 1 Aberystwyth

Connah's Quay 3 - 0 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Newtown

Flint Town 2 - 0 Aberystwyth