Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8

Mar 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Jenner Park

Barry
2 - 1
Newtown

Hulbert (19'), Kavanagh (57')
Armstrong (86'), Hulbert (90+5'), Kavanagh (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (90')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions

Last Game: Flint Town 3-2 Barry
Saturday, March 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Newtown AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town United	Draw	Newtown AFC
42.38% ( -0.11)	25.33% ( 0.02)	32.3% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.05% (

-0.06)

47.96% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.87% (

-0.06)

70.13% (

0.06)

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

-0.08)

22.55% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.87% (

-0.12)

56.13% (

0.12)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87% (

0.02)

28.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

0.03)

63.81% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Barry Town United 42.38%

Newtown AFC 32.3%

Draw 25.32%

Barry Town United	Draw	Newtown AFC
1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.38%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.3%