Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Mar 29, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Old Road

Briton Ferry
1 - 0
Connah's Quay

Bowen (71')
Bates (45'), (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Edwards (26'), Woodcock (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Briton Ferry and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Briton Ferry
Friday, March 21 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 70.24%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Briton FerryDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
12.8% (0.067 0.07)16.96% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.24% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)55.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (0.098999999999997 0.1)38.33% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (0.094999999999999 0.09)75.09% (-0.092000000000013 -0.09)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.44% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)8.56% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.4% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)29.59% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Briton Ferry 12.8%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 70.24%
    Draw 16.96%
Briton FerryDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 3.71% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 12.8%
1-1 @ 7.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28%
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.96%
0-2 @ 9.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.12% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 4.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-5 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-6 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 70.24%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
0-1
Briton Ferry

Kenny (43'), Nash (73'), Ferguson (73'), Nash (77')
Gammond (59')
Gammond (51')
Oct 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
2-1
Briton Ferry
Hughes (34'), Edwards (37')
Williams (71')
Poole (90+1')
Jenkins (67')
Jenkins (33'), Owen (49'), Poole (71')
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Briton Ferry
1-5
Connah's Quay
Bowen (5')
Gammond (22'), Brock (30'), Bowen (39'), Evans (79')
Mwandwe (14'), Disney (50' pen.), Williams (51'), Hughes (72'), Berry (89')