Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 70.24%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.