Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
32.53% ( -4.66) | 24.93% ( 0.37) | 42.54% ( 4.29) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -2.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.87% ( -2.55) | 46.13% ( 2.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.57% ( -2.46) | 68.43% ( 2.45) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% ( -3.87) | 27.09% ( 3.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% ( -5.34) | 62.47% ( 5.34) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% ( 0.98) | 21.69% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.16% ( 1.48) | 54.84% ( -1.48) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.67) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.6) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.72) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.46) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.55) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.39) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 1.17) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 1.07) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.63) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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