Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.01% ( -1.64) | 25.26% ( -0.58) | 42.74% ( 2.22) |
Both teams to score 55.78% ( 1.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.25% ( 2.05) | 47.75% ( -2.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.06% ( 1.86) | 69.94% ( -1.86) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.78% ( -0.04) | 28.22% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.08% ( -0.05) | 63.92% ( 0.05) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( 2) | 22.29% ( -1.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.25% ( 2.91) | 55.75% ( -2.9) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.39) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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