Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.