Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zalaegerszegi TE win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Paksi SE had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zalaegerszegi TE win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Paksi SE win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.