Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Paksi SE had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Paksi SE win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ferencvaros in this match.