Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.