Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.