Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Maccabi Bnei Raina had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest Maccabi Bnei Raina win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hapoel Jerusalem in this match.