Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
Krasnodar

Spartak Moscow
1 - 0
Krasnodar

Zobnin (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pantaleao (81')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

FC Krasnodar

All competitions
Last Game: Krasnodar 0-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Krasnodar
44.78% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)23.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)31.47% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)41.1% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)63.49% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)18.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)49.93% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (0.012 0.01)25.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.92% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.07% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 44.78%
    FC Krasnodar 31.47%
    Draw 23.75%
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Krasnodar
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 44.78%
1-1 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.47%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Krasnodar
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Cordoba (39'), Spertsyan (84' pen.)
Cordoba (20'), Olusegun (58'), Kady (90+6')

Selikhov (81'), Medina (86')
Apr 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 24
Spartak Moscow
4-3
Krasnodar
Sobolev (63' pen., 67'), Zinkovskiy (81'), Promes (84')
Cordoba (11'), Bachi (58'), Spertsyan (72')
Jul 23, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Krasnodar
1-4
Spartak Moscow
Spertsyan (60' pen.)
Borodin (24')
Chernikov (37')
Zobnin (35'), Promes (46'), Borodin (52' og.), Moses (83')
Sobolev (20'), Martins Pereira (26'), Litvinov (49'), Selikhov (87')
Mar 13, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 21
Spartak Moscow
1-2
Krasnodar
Promes (38' pen.)
Umyarov (43'), Nicholson (44')
Spertsyan (5', 86')
Chernikov (31')
Nov 20, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 15
Krasnodar
2-1
Spartak Moscow
Cordoba (16'), Krychowiak (60' pen.)
Chernikov (33'), Goncharenko (45+3'), Spertsyan (66'), Vilhena (74')
Sobolev (45+3' pen.)
Umyarov (10'), Caufriez (56'), Lucas (59')