Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
44.53% ( -0.09) | 25.84% ( 0.03) | 29.64% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.83% ( -0.07) | 51.17% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( -0.06) | 73.02% ( 0.06) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( -0.08) | 22.91% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% ( -0.11) | 56.67% ( 0.11) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( 0.01) | 31.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( 0.01) | 67.97% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |