Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSM Iasi win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for UTA Arad had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSM Iasi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest UTA Arad win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSM Iasi would win this match.

Result
CSM Iasi	Draw	UTA Arad
40.82% ( -0.08)	29.35% ( -0.01)	29.83% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 42.87% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.25% (

0.07)

63.75% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.99% (

0.05)

83.01% (

-0.05)

CSM Iasi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

-0.02)

30.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

-0.02)

66.96% (

0.02)

UTA Arad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.86% (

0.11)

38.13% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.1% (

0.11)

74.89% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

CSM Iasi 40.82%

UTA Arad 29.82%

Draw 29.33%

CSM Iasi	Draw	UTA Arad
1-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.3% Total : 40.82%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.33%	0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 29.82%